Alcione vs Calcio Brusaporto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
2º
16º
2º
45
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ASD
3 - 1
ALC
50%
26%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALC
4 - 1
FOL
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
ALC
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
ASD
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Brusaporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAS
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VCB
1 - 1
CAL
43%
22%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAL
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SON
2 - 0
CAL
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |