Alcides vs VVOG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
ALC
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 3
VVN
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
GRC
1 - 5
ALC
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 0
SVB
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 3
HOO
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
DVS
1 - 1
VVO
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
VVO
1 - 1
HAR
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 0
VVO
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
VVO
1 - 2
CAP
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GRO
5 - 0
VVO
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |