CD Alcazar vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
COS
0 - 1
ALC
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 1
FUT
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PRI
3 - 1
ALC
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALM
25%
23%
53%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 0
CAS
17%
21%
62%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MON
4 - 0
LUC
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
MON
12%
20%
69%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
ADF
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
MON
19%
22%
59%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
ATC
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |