CD Alcazar vs Fray Albino-UCO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 2
CLU
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 3
ALC
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
FIG
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
ALC
85%
11%
5%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
LEO
17%
20%
64%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fray Albino-UCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
4 - 1
FIG
49%
21%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 3
PAN
13%
16%
71%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 3
LEO
20%
20%
60%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MEN
6 - 1
FRA
60%
18%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
5 - 1
SBE
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |