Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-2
Alcañiz vs Caspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ACF
1 - 1
CDU
64%
22%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
SAB
1 - 2
ACF
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
ACF
1 - 2
CAS
45%
28%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
MAL
0 - 0
ACF
50%
26%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
ACF
2 - 0
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
UFC
1 - 2
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
CAS
1 - 1
ALC
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
ACF
1 - 2
CAS
45%
28%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
CAS
5 - 1
SAB
38%
26%
36%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAL
63%
21%
15%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |