Alcanenense vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALC
3 - 0
OLE
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 0
ALC
23%
24%
52%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
ALC
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAF
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 4
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
VIL
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLE
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
VIT
30%
22%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |