Alcanenense vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
1DE
2 - 0
ALC
33%
27%
41%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 0
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
3 - 2
LUS
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAF
2 - 0
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
PRA
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 2
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
1DE
2 - 2
VIL
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PRA
3 - 2
VIL
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |