Alcanenense vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
ALC
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
5 - 3
SEN
76%
17%
8%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
MAF
33%
30%
37%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 3
ALC
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VRA
1 - 4
ALC
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
57%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
VIL
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GDR
1 - 0
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
ANG
22%
21%
58%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +4 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |