Alcanenense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ADP
0 - 3
ALC
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 3
ALC
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 0
TOR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 2
UDL
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDL
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 0
FAT
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |