Alcanenense vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
ELE
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAT
4 - 0
ALC
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATL
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ELE
1 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAT
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |