Alcanenense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 0
ALC
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ADM
72%
18%
11%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
SER
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |