Alcanenense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
6 - 1
ALC
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
UDL
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ELE
2 - 1
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
LUS
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
MAF
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
ELE
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 1
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
SER
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |