Alcanenense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
ALC
52%
24%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ATL
5 - 3
ALC
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 3
UDL
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ELE
3 - 2
ALC
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
FAT
43%
28%
30%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 2
NAV
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
NAV
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |