Alcanenense vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GDR
0 - 1
ALC
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
ANG
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALC
20%
24%
57%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
MAF
34%
30%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAF
0 - 0
PRA
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAF
3 - 0
LUS
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 4
MAF
11%
24%
65%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |