Alcanenense vs Lourinhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VST
3 - 1
ALC
90%
8%
2%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALC
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAF
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
FAT
26%
26%
49%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 1
FCB
12%
18%
71%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UDL
4 - 0
LOU
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LOU
4 - 0
ADP
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
LOU
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 2
MAF
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 1
LUS
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |