Alcanenense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
TOR
37%
26%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
ELE
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
FAT
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FAT
0 - 0
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
4 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FAT
1 - 2
ELE
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAT
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |