Alcanenense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 0
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
3 - 2
LUS
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAF
2 - 0
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 1
ELE
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 1
ALC
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
PRA
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
ARO
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
1DE
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |