Alcanenense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 3
ALC
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 1
ALC
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
9 - 0
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALC
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 0
OLE
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAL
20%
23%
56%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAF
22%
28%
49%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAL
18%
23%
58%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 0
NAV
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |