Alcanenense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 0
ALC
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
ALC
15%
18%
67%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
PEN
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
ALC
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
COV
4 - 3
ALC
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 1
EST
10%
21%
69%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
SER
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 0
ADM
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
UDL
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |