Alcanenense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 2
ATL
57%
24%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
NAC
7%
16%
77%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
TOR
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 2
ALC
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
ADP
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 2
ELE
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
FAT
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 2
LOU
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ADP
0 - 3
CAL
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |