Alcanenense vs Riachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
5 - 1
ALC
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 5
ALC
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
FAT
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 1
ALC
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
SER
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
ELE
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PAÇ
9 - 0
ATL
90%
8%
2%
|
34 | 79 | 45 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAF
2 - 0
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
UDL
20%
24%
57%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATL
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |