Alcanenense vs Riachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 2
ALC
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
ADP
82%
13%
6%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
LOU
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VST
3 - 1
ALC
90%
8%
2%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALC
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LOU
4 - 1
ATL
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAL
12%
19%
69%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FAT
4 - 0
ATL
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
UDL
3 - 2
ATL
81%
14%
5%
|
16 | 54 | 38 | 0 |