Alcanenense vs Atlético Ouriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
ELE
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAT
4 - 0
ALC
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 1
ALC
42%
25%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Ouriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
4 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
UDL
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ELE
0 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
ELE
22%
25%
53%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAF
3 - 0
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |