Alcanenense vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
ALC
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALC
15%
24%
61%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
2 - 2
SER
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
3 - 4
NAV
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADM
59%
24%
17%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
3 - 1
PEN
55%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 0
ADM
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |