Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-10
RSD Alcalá vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 0
ZAM
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ALB
1 - 0
ALC
69%
22%
9%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 1
PLA
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
ARG
1 - 1
ALC
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDT
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
VCF
3 - 0
ESP
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
VCF
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
VCF
3 - 1
SLA
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
UDL
1 - 0
VCF
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
VCF
7 - 0
BUR
91%
6%
2%
|
81 | 26 | 55 | 0 |