RSD Alcalá vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ULP
2 - 2
ALC
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
CUL
35%
30%
35%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ALC
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
PPJ
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
PON
0 - 0
ALC
48%
26%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
LAN
4 - 1
AVI
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CDO
4 - 2
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
LAN
5 - 1
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
LAN
1 - 2
ATM
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LAN
5 - 1
RIB
78%
14%
7%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |