RSD Alcalá vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 1
OVI
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
NUC
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
NUC
0 - 0
ALC
43%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
ALC
5 - 2
AVI
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
AVI
1 - 0
ALC
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
UBC
1 - 0
CDT
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UBC
2 - 2
LUC
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PUE
3 - 0
UBC
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
UBC
0 - 2
AGD
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CDL
0 - 1
UBC
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |