RSD Alcalá vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
16º
4º
37
3º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RVB
3 - 1
ALC
46%
24%
29%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
GAL
54%
24%
21%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LRZ
1 - 2
ALC
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RMA
4 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
URS
21%
25%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
URS
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
TRJ
35%
25%
39%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
VAL
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
CVI
60%
23%
18%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |