RSD Alcalá vs AD Torrejón CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 3
ALC
13%
24%
63%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CDV
1 - 0
ALC
12%
23%
65%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 2
SFN
63%
23%
14%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
POZ
49%
28%
24%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
RVB
1 - 1
ALC
39%
28%
34%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AD Torrejón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TRJ
0 - 0
SFN
38%
25%
38%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
POZ
1 - 2
TRJ
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TRJ
1 - 3
RVB
21%
23%
55%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
TRJ
0 - 2
VAL
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
TRJ
44%
26%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |