Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
RSD Alcalá vs AD San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 1
PNT
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
INT
0 - 1
ALC
55%
25%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 0
TRC
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
STA
0 - 0
ALC
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALA
71%
19%
10%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AD San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
CDB
0 - 0
SJU
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SJU
1 - 0
GAR
78%
16%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 0
SJU
33%
27%
40%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SJU
1 - 1
CAN
71%
19%
10%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SUB
0 - 1
SJU
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |