RSD Alcalá vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
NUC
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
NUC
0 - 0
ALC
43%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
ALC
5 - 2
AVI
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
AVI
1 - 0
ALC
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
VIJ
1 - 1
ALC
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
MLL
1 - 0
OVI
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
OVI
1 - 0
MLL
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
OVI
3 - 1
CON
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAU
0 - 1
OVI
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
OVI
4 - 0
LLA
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |