RSD Alcalá vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
27.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
ADP
2 - 1
ALC
53%
27%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 1
ANT
64%
23%
13%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
ALG
6 - 0
ALC
60%
26%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
ALC
2 - 1
AMA
68%
22%
10%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
ORI
1 - 0
ALC
47%
28%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALB
60%
25%
15%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1985 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
HOS
67%
22%
12%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
LIN
1 - 1
RJA
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
PBL
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |