RSD Alcalá vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
ALB
1 - 1
ALC
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
ALC
3 - 2
BAL
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PBL
0 - 1
ALC
48%
28%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDB
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
TAL
1 - 0
ALC
47%
29%
25%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
RJA
3 - 2
PUE
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
BAL
1 - 2
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
LOR
3 - 0
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
IBI
1 - 1
RJA
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALB
66%
22%
12%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |