RSD Alcalá vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CDO
2 - 0
ALC
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LAN
2 - 0
ALC
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 2
ULP
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
CUL
2 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
RIB
2 - 2
AVI
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 2
CDO
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
AVI
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
AVI
2 - 2
PON
25%
26%
48%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 1
LAN
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |