RSD Alcalá vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
16º
4º
16
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 1
ALC
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
1 - 1
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
LRZ
37%
27%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 0
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 3
URS
17%
23%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MEX
4 - 1
ARA
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 0
TRJ
16%
21%
62%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 1
ARA
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
CVI
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |