RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
MLL
0 - 1
ALC
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
FUE
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ART
0 - 1
ALC
29%
28%
42%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 0
RMC
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
PPJ
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
RAY
2 - 2
PPJ
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ULP
1 - 1
RAY
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
RAY
1 - 0
CAS
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
LEG
1 - 0
RAY
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
RAY
0 - 0
SSR
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |