RSD Alcalá vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
TAL
1 - 2
ALC
51%
28%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
ALC
0 - 1
LEV
67%
22%
11%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
ALC
0 - 0
AGD
50%
28%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
RJA
4 - 1
ALC
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
RAY
3 - 2
HOS
68%
22%
10%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
XER
0 - 0
RAY
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
RAY
3 - 1
LIN
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1984 |
RAY
1 - 2
UDL
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
PBL
2 - 0
RAY
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |