RSD Alcalá vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
RMC
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SSR
0 - 0
ALC
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
52%
25%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 1
UDC
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
CFP
71%
20%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CFP
1 - 1
UDC
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 1
CFP
64%
23%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CFP
0 - 1
TAL
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CUL
2 - 0
CFP
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |