RSD Alcalá vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 2
ALC
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ALC
3 - 0
LAN
39%
28%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ULP
2 - 2
ALC
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
CUL
35%
30%
35%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ALC
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CDO
4 - 1
AVI
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CDO
1 - 1
RIB
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDO
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CDO
4 - 2
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ULP
3 - 0
CDO
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |