RSD Alcalá vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ADP
1 - 0
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAG
0 - 1
ALC
27%
27%
47%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
STA
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
TRC
66%
21%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 3
ALC
30%
26%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 1
TRC
73%
17%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CDV
2 - 1
ALC
20%
24%
57%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |