RSD Alcalá vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 0
ALC
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDM
37%
28%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
ALC
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 1
ALC
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
VAL
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MEX
1 - 0
VAL
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 2
MEX
37%
27%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MEX
0 - 1
ATB
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PBO
1 - 1
MEX
29%
27%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MEX
0 - 1
POZ
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |