RSD Alcalá vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
MNC
0 - 0
ALC
56%
26%
18%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
PBL
2 - 1
ALC
56%
26%
18%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ALC
1 - 1
CCF
52%
27%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALC
55%
26%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
ALC
2 - 0
TAL
56%
27%
17%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
LOR
1 - 1
CCF
47%
29%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
RJA
3 - 0
LOR
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
LOR
3 - 2
TAL
50%
29%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
AGD
2 - 0
LOR
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
LOR
2 - 1
LEV
45%
29%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |