Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
RSD Alcalá vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
PLA
1 - 2
ALC
49%
28%
23%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
ALC
4 - 1
ROD
78%
15%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALC
21%
28%
51%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAN
71%
21%
9%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
ADP
0 - 0
ALC
65%
23%
12%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
LEG
1 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
7%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
LEG
3 - 2
MAR
81%
14%
6%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
GET
4 - 1
LEG
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
VAL
1 - 1
LEG
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
LEG
4 - 1
FUE
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |