Segunda B Playoffs Play Off Ascenso Final
Global 2-4
RSD Alcalá vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
PON
0 - 1
ALC
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 1
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 0
RAY
21%
26%
54%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
MLL
0 - 1
ALC
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
FUE
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
AGD
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
AGD
0 - 1
HER
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
HER
1 - 0
FCB
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
ZAR
3 - 0
HER
35%
30%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
HER
1 - 0
RCD
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |