RSD Alcalá vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 1
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
LEG
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SSR
2 - 1
ALC
35%
27%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 2
RVB
31%
30%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 4
CDT
10%
23%
66%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 2
MAR
43%
25%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OVI
3 - 0
CEL
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATB
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 0
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
ROD
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |