RSD Alcalá vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
CAD
3 - 1
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 1
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
SSR
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RVB
1 - 1
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
CHI
9%
20%
71%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CDT
0 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
CDT
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
OVI
0 - 3
CDT
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CDT
0 - 0
ATB
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NAX
1 - 1
CDT
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |