RSD Alcalá vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ULP
2 - 0
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
3 - 2
LAN
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OVI
3 - 3
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GIM
0 - 1
ALC
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CDT
1 - 4
PUE
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CER
0 - 0
CDT
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CDT
2 - 1
CDT
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SPB
0 - 1
CDT
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CDT
1 - 0
CPC
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |