RSD Alcalá vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 2
ALC
29%
25%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
RVB
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ADA
1 - 1
ALC
39%
27%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
VAL
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ATB
3 - 2
ALC
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SFN
0 - 0
SIE
49%
26%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 0
SFN
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 1
STA
54%
24%
23%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
SFN
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SFN
1 - 0
GET
22%
23%
56%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |