RSD Alcalá vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
16º
4º
45
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CVI
0 - 0
ALC
28%
25%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
POZ
0 - 0
ALC
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
GET
35%
27%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 2
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
URS
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 4
CDM
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
TRJ
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CDM
33%
24%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CVI
1 - 3
CDM
19%
24%
57%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |