Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-2
RSD Alcalá vs Cartagena F.C. UCAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
LEG
1 - 1
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
ATB
2 - 3
ALC
62%
20%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
ALC
1 - 1
LIN
47%
29%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
TEL
2 - 2
ALC
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
HER
1 - 0
CFC
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
CFC
1 - 0
TOR
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
CFC
1 - 0
LOR
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
ELD
1 - 1
CFC
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
CFC
1 - 0
AMA
67%
22%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |